Wednesday, December 19, 2012

Will We See REIT's as an Investment Option in 2013?


REIT stands for Real Estate Investment Trust.

REITs are tradable securities whose underlying assets are property portfolios that earn from either real estate sales or rent.

They are issued by property developers and sold to investors whose funds are then reinvested into new property developments. [via Inquirer.net]

REIT makes it easier for small time investors to participate in investing in the real-estate market.


Although the REIT law was passed way back in 2009, there are still no offers available in the market. Issuers are not participating because of the government's stand on taxing this investment vehicle. Industry players are asking for a middle ground to this law, but the department of finance is not budging.

PSE will propose a set of regulations that will hopefully address the issue of the players involved. They target to have the first REIT offering in 2013.

Personally, this is an interesting opportunity because I believe real-estate in the Philippines is still undervalued. There's much room to grow thus the potential for generating income is also great.

Tuesday, December 11, 2012

Another All-Time High for PSE, passing beyond the 5,800 mark

In my previous post, I said that a healthy correction happened yesterday. A correction or retracement or reversal describes when the market goes down after it has gone up for a period of time.  It seems like a good retracement indeed, the Philippine Stock Market index today breached the 5,800 mark.


Even foreign investors are putting money in the Philippines except for Nomura. Though he's right in saying that the stock prices are becoming expensive, I believe the options are not yet exhausted though. There are still undervalued blue chips in the market. Probably a good time to invest in these because investors are now eyeing them.

For the month of December, my fearless forecast is it will continue to go up probably up to 5900+ by end of the year. Though I find it worrisome that the stock market is rising up too fast. Come January, we may see some large corrections until the market can breathe again.

DNL IPO on December 12

People who do stocks are all-eyes on D&L Industries, Inc. (Symbol: DNL) tomorrow, which will commence its initial public offering (IPO). Almost always, IPO's are hyped probably because it doesn't happen always, although this year there were already several companies who IPO'ed prior to DNL: GT Cap, East West Bank, Coal Asia, and Yehey (Although technically, YEHEY listed by way of introduction and is not considered IPO).


If there's hype, there's demand. DNL will be priced at P4.30 when it opens tomorrow, December 12, 2012. I read that it's over-subscribed; it means there's a strong demand. I didn't compute the P/E on my own but I read it's around 13.35. If it's true, the price is about average but on the lower end because P/E's are usually 16-17, but it should be compared with PE's of companies in the same industry.

I haven't participated in any IPO's yet, but I have already observed two. It's always hyped, and it usually goes up in the first day of trading, maybe even a few days after, then tumbles down after. DNL is a big company. It manufactures food additives and supplies large restaurants including Jollibee and Max's. This alone can attract attention and boost the hype.

For those who didn't have the chance to subscribe to IPO price, maybe you can buy tomorrow if the demand is good. But as with any IPO, I wouldn't advise you to hold it for too long until track record is proven, who knows, DNL can even be a blue chip someday.

And to add even more to the hype, DNL even have a countdown timer in its website:

Note: this is just an image and it is not working



Monday, December 10, 2012

Will Santa Claus Rally Start Soon?

In the stock market world, there's this thing called Santa Claus Rally. It is the rise of stock prices in the month of December. People are generally happy and have more money during this time of the year; thus people tend to invest more. It is also during this time when additional trades must be done for tax reasons.

Image from financialpost.com
The Philippine stock market is down 36 points today. It shouldn't be much of a worry, hopefully it is a healthy correction from the fast rise of the stock market last week. Let's see what happens tomorrow. My trades so far are producing fruits, thanks to the support group in the office who started way way before me. Currently holding MEG, MWC, UBP and AEV.

So will Santa Claus Rally start tomorrow? Nobody knows!